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Data Mining

by Guest Post ( 306 Comments › )
Filed under Barack Obama, Conservatism, Democratic Party, Elections 2012, Elections 2016, Fascism, Liberal Fascism, Progressives, Republican Party, Socialism, Tranzis at March 11th, 2013 - 12:00 pm

Blogmocracy in Action

Guest Blogger: AZ Old Dog

datamining

A discussion occurred on the last BlogMocRadio about Data Mining, what is it and how is it used.

Let me start with the side that my Paycheck Continuation Program (PCP) is involved with on a daily basis, Just In Time Inventory or JITI.  This is Data Mining at its’ finest!

Ever walked into almost any commercial enterprise and seen employees running around with hand held Bar Code Scanners, ever had you purchase rang up by passing over or under a scanner and then paid for said purchase with a Credit or Debit Card!  Answer yes to any of those and you have been data mined!  Mind you that most US commercial enterprises (Notable exceptions for Google, Microshaft and anything associated with GE) use this data to tailor what they carry in a given region, when and how much they order and what demographics (remember the cards) are buying their goods.

Each store involved has what most call an In Store Processor (ISP).  Now the ISP could be called an Idiot Savant of computers as it includes a full Commercial Transactions Node (think ATM at your Bank) and a continuous communications node to wherever the company’s Master Inventory Control Point (MICP) is.  I know where most of them are but have this little thing called Confidentiality Agreements (CA)  in place here.

All decisions with the (sometimes) exception of Local Hiring and Firing are made at the MICP.  The individual stores do what they are told!  Ever walked into a chain store and found something on sale, unadvertised over night?  That item is not selling well in your region and the MICP projects a need for that shelf space!  Better to sell it at reduced price or even a small loss compared to having to dispose of it or ship it back!  Many chains have associated chains where the High Dollar but popular items that are fixing to go “Out of Style” are cross-shipped to and sold as Discount!  Don’t ask me to name names, see CA above.

All of these methods as well as regional and demographic patterns are used to determine what to purchase, when to purchase, when to ship and get it to the store just as it will sell!  Important here also is how much an individual store can be expected to sell!

This Boys and Girls is how beneficial Commercial Data Mining works.  Now let us translate this to the Political Realm!

First you need a Sugar Daddy to buy you a Master Control Point (MCP) and all the Internet bandwidth you need.  Enter George Soros and his endless bag of money in cooperation with an outfit not legally associated with a Political Party, let’s call it Organizing for America (OFA) just as something to use OK?

Now your MCP does not need a huge investment (Hell, I have four machines in my house that could host it) mostly a good sized Server Grade machine and lots of Network Storage (NS).  NS is desired as we are going to store and transmit lots of data and NS can be expanded as needed cheaply and with a minimum of fuss!  What it really must have is damn good data management software and a rock solid communications link!  Who are we going to talk to?

How about the community leaders in every local group who is going to agree with what we want to do.  Here is where legally a Political party can become involved as they are just one little communications node in our dispersed network.  What do these nodes need to function? A cheap piece of secure communications software, that’s it. With a computer that they probably already have and the cheap ass software they are now a functional node in our huge data mining operation!

Next we send from the MCP what information we want like say names and voting patterns!  We could also ask for anything any prominent person has ever done stupid.  Or even better how about anything that person has ever said or done that could be twisted out of context to make them LOOK stupid or evil.

Next set of marching orders from the MCP is “What to Say and When!”  Thus at say 1:00 PM all nodes start saying the exact same thing at the exact same time!  Who the hell cares if it is true or accurate!

What then occurs in large portions of our modern society is called Information Waterfall.  Many, many people will hear it and the assumption becomes that because everyone and everybody is saying the same thing “It Must Be True!”

This is the danger of the Distributed Network more so that Inbound Data Mining, the phenomenon of Outbound Data Mining (ODM)!

ODM is the weapon that OFA is trying to use!  Any piece of dirt or innuendo that can be found or developed against a political enemy is brought in processed and distributed to all the nodes in a matter of minutes  and no one on our side has the damn brains to start using this power!

The problem with this model is that much of the control of information and efforts is shifted away from the personalities running the operation to the troops running the nodes.  On the Progressive left that is no problem as they are united in thought and deed!  Not so on the Right!

Neocons, Socons, Fiscons, PaulBots and just plain “Do It My Way” country club Republicans divide the Right better than Odumbbutt ever could.  Each and everyone of these groups that launches and kind of effort wants to Keep Control!

If only we could get together and find the points we agree on build that into our MCP software as Priority’s and build our own Bi-Directional Data Mining effort because until we do we will always be one step behind OFA!

-AZOlddog

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Posted in Barack Obama, Conservatism, Democratic Party, Elections 2012, Elections 2016, Fascism, Liberal Fascism, Progressives, Republican Party, Socialism, Tranzis | 306 Comments »

OFA’s plan for to create a One Party Nation by turning Texas Blue

by Phantom Ace ( 112 Comments › )
Filed under Barack Obama, Cult of Obama, Democratic Party, Elections 2016, Progressives, Republican Party at February 28th, 2013 - 7:00 am

Organizing

I originally was going to do a  joke thread that Conservatives should join the Democrat Party to the advantages of media and culture. But a more important subject has come up that I need to discuss.

On last night’s radio show AZ Old Dog, Eagle Soars, Osprey and I discussed the technological machine that is Organizing for Action. This machine which led to Obama’s re-election triumph in 2012 despite a bad economy. Yes the Democrats advantage with the popular culture and Media helped, but it was the technological advantage that really is the key to the Democrat’s strength. Now OFA is setting its sight on a new target, Texas.

Some on the blog scoff at the notion at Texas turning blue, do so at your own peril. Organizing For Action’s data mining techniques and manipulation of voters through slick messaging works. I saw first hand how in Florida they turned the once solidly Republican Cuban American vote, into swing vote that broke narrowly for Obama. They did through a combination of fear mongering by claiming Republicans were going to take away Dry Foot, Wet Foot and using bigoted words of people like Ann Coulter in emails. The result was Cubans got angry and scared of the Republicans and broke with a  Party they have backed for nearly 50 years. It was dirty, but i worked.

Texas is currently solidly Red, but many from Blue States have move in. Although the Texas Republican Party does better with the Hispanic vote (35%-40%) than the party does nationally (27%), using the Florida blueprint of fear mongering and propaganda, OFA hopes to make them solidly Democrat. They also plan to target younger Texans who may not be as culturally Conservative as their parents. The trick OFA will use is to try to convince these younger voters that the Democrats are fiscally Conservative but Socially tolerant. They then will use Republicans like Santorum, who is OFA’s greatest asset, into shaming voters from voting Republican.  I met people who really believe that on fiscal and economic matters that there is no difference than Republicans and Democrats. They vote Democrat because OFA has convinced them Republicans are hateful bigots. Republicans have never refuted any of these allegations, because they are not aware of what OFA is doing.

The man who is tasked with turning Texas blue is Jeremy Bird. Using OFA’s micromanagement tactics he pulled  a surprise win for Obama in Florida. Now he is being given the resources to make Texas a Battleground state and then eventually a Democrat stronghold. He is the head of the OFA offshoot, Battleground Texas.

But who is capable of pulling just this scenario off? Enter: Battleground Texas and its senior adviser, Jeremy Bird.

Last month, Politico reported that Mr. Bird — President Barack Obama’s 2012 campaign national field director — was in Austin, Texas to meet with local Democrats on Battleground Texas, “a large-scale independent group aimed at turning traditionally conservative Texas into a prime electoral battleground.”

In his early 30s, Mr. Bird is a current and future star of the Democratic Party’s awesomely effective campaign machine. As Mr. Obama’s field director, he revolutionized the effectiveness of the traditional field model, registering, among a great many others, 361,000 left-leaning voters in Florida, 156,000 left-leaning voters in Colorado and 96,000 left-leaning voters in Nevada. Not bad, considering Mr. Obama’s candidacy was no longer an historic first.

[….]

“Bird wouldn’t play in Texas on a hope,” Vlytics partner Scott Tranter told TheDC. “He can pick his next job; choose his next salary. If he’s moving to Texas, it’s because he thinks he can win — and he’s proven that he can.”

Over his three presidential campaigns, Mr. Bird has been responsible for millions of door knocks and tens of millions of phone calls that didn’t simply target Democrats — they targeted Republican and undecided Americans that Mr. Obama’s data operation knew were likely to respond favorably.

“Our approach — using smart data, people-to-people organizing, and digital strategies and analytics — can win even the toughest of campaigns,” Mr. Bird said on a Tuesday conference call with reporters, “and we know it will work in Texas too.”

Indeed, Mr. Bird is at the cutting edge of the technological prowess that helped the Democrats so effectively defeat the Republicans in 2008 and 2012. The Wall Street Journal described his approach as “one part data and one part emotional connection. He keeps close track of which states are making their targets each day, but also preaches the value of relationships — between the campaign and its volunteers, and between volunteers and voters.”

[….]

On Feb. 24, Mr. Bird retweeted a Huffington Post article in which Mr. Perry said that Texas going blue “is the biggest pipe dream I have ever heard.”

Mr. Bird added two words: “Love this.”

Do not laugh at Jeremy Bird’s confidence about Texas. He has turned Red States like Florida Blue using data-mining, paid volunteers embedded in neighborhoods and using Republicans own words against them.
The problem facing Republicans is not demographic. Groups change their voting patterns over time. White Southerners were once solidly Democrat, but now are the base of the Republican Party. The North East and Upper Midwest was once the home of he Republican Party, now it is the Democrat Party’s home turf. Young voters in the 1980’s voted for Ronald Reagan and thought Republicans were cool. Now they view Republicans as evil and out of touch. Hence why I did not emphasize any demographic change in Texas as the reason for it potentially going blue, it is OFA’s methods and technological superiority that can make it go blue.
No amount of change in language, tactics or outreach to new groups of voters will amount to a hill of beans until the Republicans come up with their version of Organizing for Action. Unlike the Democrats, the GOP will not need to distort the truth or demagogue to win voters. But the Party needs to mimic the OFA’s data-mine and behavioral analysis, plus establishing personal relationships with voters. That is the only way to win going forward.
Demography is not destiny, but Technology is. If the GOP does not create an OFA like organization; then Texas will be gone in the next few cycles. If that happens, then my joke will have to be a reality. Conservatives will have to join the Democrat Party to have any influence.

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Posted in Barack Obama, Cult of Obama, Democratic Party, Elections 2016, Progressives, Republican Party | 112 Comments »

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