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Posts Tagged ‘Junk Science’

Junk Science: How Is The Theory Disproven?

by Flyovercountry ( 148 Comments › )
Filed under Communism, Fascism, Global Warming Hoax, Marxism, Progressives at February 18th, 2014 - 7:00 am

Political Cartoons by Steve Breen

As I awoke this morning, I discovered that once again the mercury dipped its ruthless little head somewhere south of zero. This has been a brutally cold winter, and indeed, I have never been so grateful for my fossil fuel burning snow blower, so brilliantly designed and built by MTD. Don’t blame me for the cold, I’m doing what I can to warm the planet, at least according to the hysterical environazis, who claim that man kind can somehow affect our planets weather. These record breaking cold temperatures you see, are just another couple of data points which prove beyond debate, or even the opportunity for debate, that our planet has a fever, and that the only cure for that fever is to inflict massive economic damage upon ourselves and to force mass misery and indeed starvation upon the good citizens of Earth. To illustrate that point, here is a heartwarming story of our President offering the people of Northern California a $1 Billion slush fund purportedly to ease their suffering of a painful drought, which he claims was caused by, “global climate change.” (Notice that, “global warming,” has been changed to, “global climate change,” in the official lexicon of the political left now. This is necessary due to the inconvenient truth that global temperatures have been falling for nearly 20 years now.) This happened this past Friday.

Those of you who possess adult memories may feel the tinges of previous stories of drought in Northern California. I should like to take you back all the way to the ancient date of 2009. If you’ll recall, that was the year that the EPA made the people of California empty their five year supply of drinking water from their reservoirs in order to protect the 3″ Delta Smelt. That was the year that California residents sued Barack Obama’s EPA and lost in court, at the Appellate level, and were refused by the Supreme Court, to prevent this asinine abuse of EPA authority from having the potential to ruin their lives.

The more astute among you may ask, why would anyone build a reservoir capable of holding a five year supply of water in the first place? could it be due to the fact that the indigenous population there had previous experience with droughts, and knew that in order to be safe, they may need to be prepared for one that could last up to five years? That’s the problem with government bureaucracies you see, no matter what the local population has to say about anything, they know better. “Well, in Washington D.C., we never have a drought that lasts longer than a couple of months, so you here in Northern California are just plain crazy for keeping that much water around.”

From the Five year old Hotair article linked to above:

That would be the San Joaquin Valley in California, one of the most prolific agricultural areas in the country — or at least it was, until environmentalists turned off the water. Did they need it for people in response to the drought? No, because the water that would normally flow to the SJV is getting directed out to sea instead. Environmentalists have chosen to bankrupt an entire ecosystem of farms in favor of protecting the Delta smelt, a three-inch fish that neither feeds people nor eliminates pests from the water system.

snip:

This is yet another example of radical environmentalists inflicting unnecessary damage to farming and property rights. We should worry about the next target of their radical action after San Joaquin Valley and its impact on property rights, but we also have more mundane reasons for paying attention to the farmers in SJV. The lack of produce from this formerly successful agricultural area will hike prices across the nation — and could make us more dependent on agricultural imports:

So, the government, our genius bureaucrats appointed based on their intellectually superior bona fides, by our elected representatives, dumped a two year supply of fresh water into the ocean and shipped another two year supply to Southern California reservoirs. Now everyone is surprised that this whole thing has gone bad. To add injury to insult, the same President Zero who appointed those pricks at the EPA who created this mess is now refusing to sign a bill which would allow for the Northern California reservoirs to retrieve their water from the South. So while he’s pimping his Billion Dollar slush fund, one which history has proven time and again would help no one but political cronies and politicians seeking campaign financing, he is preventing the only actual solution from taking place.

“Global Climate Change,” is of course being blamed, as that bad actor can not be prosecuted and subsequently placed in jail. You may not have seen much about this story from Friday, at least in terms of the President’s live remarks. As it turns out, the people of the San Joaquin valley do remember what caused their woes, and were not happy with the continued efforts to sacrifice their lives for the greater glory of political expediency. The Bamster you see, was not received all that well by people who were just informed that their misery was indeed necessary in order to help the President promote his Marxist agenda.

I’ve put this quote up before, and since it is so spot on, here it is again.

Patrick Moore, founder of Green Peace, on why he left that organization:

Basically they are using sensation, misinformation, and scare tactics. The environmental movement was basically hijacked by political and social activists who came in and very cleverly learned how to use green rhetoric or green language to cloak agendas that had more to do with anti corporatism, anti globalization, anti business, and very little to do with science or ecology, and that’s when I left. I realized that the movement I had started was being taken over by politicos basically, and that they were using it for fundraising purposes. Nobody is going to listen to you if you say the world is not coming to an end, but if you say the world is going to end, you get headlines. And so sensationalism, especially when it’s combined with misinformation leads to a situation where people send gobs of money to these groups for campaigns that are actually totally misguided.

Science has nothing to do with consensus. When you hear someone tell you that there is a scientific consensus, you should train yourself to hear, I am trying to inflict political change, and am attempting to use the cloak of science in order to appropriate undeserved gravitas to my argument. Science is all about forming an hypothesis that can either be proven or disproven. It is black and white, right and wrong, positive or negative, what works versus what does not. The important point for this discussion is that the opportunity to disprove the hypothesis must also exist. This Global Climate Change Theory is the only scientific endeavor for which there is no identifiable way to either prove or disprove the theory.

We have all seen those silly youtube experiments which purportedly prove global warming, but upon any slight scrutiny, those experiments are picked apart as being poorly constructed, not applicable to the scale of the globe with which they are being compared, rigged, or simply not controlled in any meaningful way. At the end of the day, the only real evidence produced to prove or disprove the hypothesis are past temperature estimations coupled with some sketchy and highly contested computer models and discredited current temperature samples. (Temperature stations have been placed on asphalt heat islands, on building tops next to air conditioning units, and northern stations have had their data inputs excluded entirely. The computer models have been programmed in many cases to exclude 800 year periods, most specifically the period known as the medieval warm period.)

Here’s my question, what opportunity to prove the converse has this group of scientists provided to show that they are wrong? That opportunity is crucial in every other field of scientific inquiry. This is true, even when the, “consensus,” so to speak feels that that their theory is beyond reproach. Science after all is hugely self critical. True science, as I have stated is not about consensus. What it is about is a singular scientist either proving or disproving, through experimentation and observation of the results, the hypothesis in question. The hypothesis is either right, or it is wrong, and that result can be clearly demonstrated, repeated, and future results predicted. With actual science, it does not matter if 97% or 3% aligns with a certain belief, until such proof is garnered. Until that time, the hypothesis is just that, an unproven statement which needs to be put through the veritable wringer.

With respect to, “Global Climate Change.” rising temperatures compared to seasonal norms is proof of the hypothesis. Falling temperatures compared to seasonal norms is proof of the hypothesis. What does that leave? One can only assume that in order to disprove the whole thing, we must see temperatures remain constant on each and every individual day when compared with the previous year. Every February 17th for example must be the same exact temperature as all previous February 17th’s, and so on, for every single day of the year, for ever and ever. As ridiculous as this sounds, what is the alternative?

We have broken a record this year, and not many people realize it. Ice cover on the Great Lakes is almost complete. One can literally walk across Lake Erie, if walking 80 miles over a frozen lake is your thing, and hike from Cleveland, Ohio to London, Ontario. I am not saying that our climate is not changing. In fact, I am saying the opposite. Our climate is changing, just like it has for the entire history of our planet. It may even be warming, which by the way would be a good thing. All previous periods of global warming throughout history have been periods of unprecedented expansions in wealth creation. The Medieval Warm period was one such example of that wealth creation. Food is easier to grow when it remains warmer for longer periods of time. Animal populations thrive that previously had harder times surviving. Man kind had nothing to do with any of it, except to reap the benefits.

Our species has survived the changes in climate because evolution has provided us the ability to adapt to it. Unfortunately, these big brains of ours come with moronic egos as well. In every debate about this whole thing I keep hearing about the preponderance of evidence that points to the phenomenon being true, what I have yet to see is any actual evidence to support that claim. Computer models and ad hominen attacks are not evidence. John Kerry today called me a, “Flat Earther,.” I would just like to point out that in 1490, two full years before Christopher Columbus supposedly proved that the world was round, the first globes were produced and sold. Aristotle had actually estimated the circumference of our Planet two thousand years prior to that. While calling those of us who are skeptical, “Flat Earthers,” might be a wonderful example of snark, it is as empty and moronic as the theory being posited. That is as accurate an illustration of the political left as I have ever given.

Cross Posted from Musings of a Mad Conservative.

9/11 Junk Science

by Mojambo ( 77 Comments › )
Filed under Science, September 11 at March 25th, 2010 - 6:00 am

I have no idea about whether the various claims about the effects of 9/11 are true or not and  I hope that they are all proven to be false or exaggerated.  I do know that the first instinct is to overstate a problem (recall how we all were supposed to have died from AIDS  20 years ago).  Unfortunately due to our litigious society, it was inevitable that people (including people who were no where near Ground Zero) were going to look to cash in on our grief and guilt and make a quick buck on an alleged victim hood.

by Jeff Stier

On Friday, the judge in the Ground Zero health-claims case tossed out the recent settlement agreement, citing concerns that the deal wasn’t fair to plaintiffs.

Yet the fact remains that there is no credible evidence in the medical literature that exposure to Ground Zero dust can cause any chronic disease or condition. That is, the central claim in the suits has no real scientific basis.

Some claim that only a few days of exposure at the World Trade Center site caused chronic lung disease and even cancer — but this is contrary to everything we know about epidemiology.

The settlement was negotiated between lawyers for some 10,000 plaintiffs claiming injury or potential injury from their time at Ground Zero and attorneys for the city, its contractors and The WTC Captive Insurance Co., the federally-created insurer for the cleanup. The agreement would have paid out about $650 million (with lawyers getting perhaps a third of the cash). But the judge suggested this isn’t enough. Meanwhile, Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D-Manhattan/Queens) and others want the feds to pay out another $10 billion.

There is no good evidence that this huge payout is warranted — only shoddy science and politicians eager to sign on to a popular cause.

James E. Tyrrell Jr., chief counsel for The WTC Captive Insurance Co., notes, “The plaintiffs allege 387 different diseases or conditions, all attributable to 9/11 exposure.” These include multiple forms of cancer, skin ailments, hepatitis C, multiple sclerosis, asbestosis and asthma. Yes, exposure to the dust could have aggravated an existing case of asthma, but not caused it in the first place.

The plaintiffs just don’t have science on their side. Columbia University pulmonologist Dr. Kenneth Prager observes that this type of exposure has never even been shown to cause many of the ailments alleged in the suits. For example, “There is no scientific validity to the claim that asbestosis is a result of 9/11 exposure.”

But a handful of scientists with an activist agenda keep trying to make the minimal evidence for the dust causing diseases sound more powerful than it is.

For example, a recent study from the Mount Sinai School of Medicine claimed that 9/11 police officers might be at higher risk of heart disease. It was a classic case of data-dredging by those trying to find a disease on behalf of plaintiffs.

The study relied on subjects who were self-selected — that is, the people who came in were the very class of people who may be suing. The researchers then compared the results from these “volunteers” to the general population — without, the lead researcher herself admitted, allowing for the possibility that NYPD cops may already have a higher risk of heart disease. Even then, they found no increase in illness — just an elevated rate in a single measure (of many that they examined) that’s predictive of future disease.

Yet the media was still all too eager to play up this unscientific junk. Reporter Steven Reinberg claimed on BusinessWeek.com that the “results add to growing evidence that exposure to the collapse of the World Trade Center was the cause of health problems.” He added, “Other studies have linked lung damage, asthma and post-traumatic stress disorder to the event, the researchers noted.”

Read the rest

Junk Science – It’s Not Just for Climate Any More

by snork ( 147 Comments › )
Filed under Anti-semitism, Dhimmitude, Islamists, Israel, Palestinians, Politics, Progressives, Science at January 26th, 2010 - 10:00 am

File this under “I kid you not!” Those damned Zionist Jews – they are responsible for all the ills of the world (including the heart break of psoriasis and Erectile Dysfunction). If it is not the Jews it is naturally Bush’s fault. These truly are Orwellian times we are living in, Palestinian society – one of the most brutal and degraded “societies” out there – which glorifies in “martyrdom” operations, is not the reason for female abuse, it is the “occupation”. (Sounds like Amira Hass is writing their P.R.) I suppose the honor killings going on in Pakistan and Iran are Israel’s fault too. The Lancet is a highly politicized left-wing organization and they are to be taken as seriously as a Keith Olbermann “Speshul Komment”.

-Speranza

Phillis Chesler has an article at PJM about her thing – Islam, Israel, and how they impact women in particular. This article is entitled: Appalled yet? Lancet Study Blames Palestinian Wife-Beating on Israel.

If you recall, this is the same Lancet that grossly exaggerated the civilian death count in Iraq, and then CRU-like, resisted inquiry. Their left-wing anti-American and anti-Israeli bent is beyond any reasonable doubt. But it takes a special chutzpah from hell to blame Israel for Palestinian domestic violence.

The post-colonial academy is itself thoroughly colonized by the false and dangerous ideas of Edward Said (please read my dear friend Ibn Warraq’s most excellent book Defending the West: A Critique of Edward Said’s Orientalism). However, I once believed that Said’s paranoid perspective had primarily infected and indoctrinated only the social sciences, humanities, and Middle East Studies. We now see his malign influence at work in a new article, just out today, by professors who work at the Department of Medicine at Harvard University; the Division of Epidemiology and Community Health at Minnesota University’s School of Public Health; The Boston University School of Medicine; the School of Nursing at the University of Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey; and at the School of Social Work and Social Welfare at Jerusalem’s Hebrew University.

Jaw hits floor. Not only are a lot of big names in medicine in on this, including Harvard Medical School, but the School of Social Work and Social Welfare at Jerusalem’s Hebrew University? Are they daft?

Please refer to Dr. Chessler’s critique of the study itself; I don’t have room here, and I defer to her expertise. But here’s the thing that should be alarming. This was a peer-reviewed study in the literature. Lancet is “the literature”, an it is a glaring example of how the literature itself can become corrupted by political pollution. Can you see now why peer review guarantees nothing in terms of integrity?

The Lancet researchers operated in exceedingly bad faith both academically and politically. For example, they write: “Occupation policies, including a separation barrier that is being erected in various parts of the West Bank, affect family connectedness, depriving women of regular contact with their families who might otherwise intervene to prevent intimate-partner violence.”

I won’t go off into what this has to do with the IPCC and the climate issue, because it’s both vast and obvious. Peer review doesn’t mean squat if the process, and the peer-reviewed journals themselves are corrupt. And this one stinks to high heaven, in a way that is a lot more intuitively obvious than with all of the climate esoterica. Same shiite, different issue.

And this isn’t the extent of politically motivated science. Radical feminism is notorious for nonsensical studies on the inherent inferiority of men. Of course, there’s the notorious Mearsheimer and Walt book The Israel Lobby and U.S. Foreign Policy. And on and on it goes. If it’s academic, and it’s political, it’s probably both wrong and junk.