► Show Top 10 Hot Links

Posts Tagged ‘Stagnation’

How To Refute The Economy Running On All Cylinders Meme In One Graph

by Flyovercountry ( 251 Comments › )
Filed under Barack Obama, Democratic Party, Economy, Regulation, taxation, unemployment at April 25th, 2014 - 6:00 am

Political Cartoons by Henry Payne

Let me begin with my penance. All hail the Gods of the Third Party. Hail to thee, hail to thee, hail to thee. Forgive me my transgression of mentioning elections and wining them without touting you as the sole way forward for humanity’s best hope. Now that this is out of the way, on with the reason for the post.

It’s the start of another midterm campaign season, and the stupidity from the left is already in full bloom. It’s bloomed early this year, and the leftist arguments concerning economics are no exception to that. “Barack Obama brought us back from the brink of collapse.” “it would have been worse had McCain or Romney won.” “the economy is just starting to recover and is running on all cylinders,” will be heralded from the roof tops and accepted by a compliant and completely incurious media. Those statements and more are just a taste of what we’re about to hear as we crawl our way towards that first Tuesday in November, that next opportunity to mitigate the damage done by two Barack Obama terms in the Oval Office.

I realize that many in our nation, especially those who claim that America was perched on the brink of the proverbial abyss in January of 2009, will not remember the middle to late 1970’s, most specifically the state of our economy during those halcyon days. Jimmy Carter had managed to disprove the theory that a correlation betwixt unemployment and Inflation existed. Inflation was so high that banks were beginning to flat out refuse to loan even a single thin dime, unless the borrower agreed to an interest rate that made loan sharks scratch their heads and cry WTF. Gas lines were miles long, and rationing had begun. During the winter months, the nightly news dutifully reported how many days of coal for heating were left in stockpiles, and took the extra step of comparing that estimation with the number of days left in the winter season. Those are just some of the reasons why you hear a derisive laughter when stating that the George W. Bush economy was the worst since WWII.

When Ronald Reagan took over from Jimmy Carter in ’81, things were actually worse economically compared to when Obama took over from George W. Bush in ’08.
Consider these three important comparisons of economic indicators, then and now:

– Unemployment was at 10.8% versus 7.7%
– Inflation (Consumer Price Index) was at 13.5% versus 2.7%
– Interest rates (prime rate) was at 21.5% versus 3.25%

Obama v Reagan Net Jobs

What the above graph shows is the net new jobs created in proportion to the population growth. During the upcoming election cycle, be prepared for the baloney. They’ll bandy about some highly suspect and nebulous figure for how many jobs, Barack Obama, created. It’ll be in the millions, and we’re supposed to be amazed by it’s size, never actually comparing it to the size of our population, the size of our population’s growth, let alone how many of those jobs were additions to the tax paying public’s burden for all of this, or how many jobs were lost or disappeared during the same time frame.

I have said this many times before, but it bears saying again. We, meaning those of us who believe in small government limited in scope and authority by the consent of those governed, in free market economic principles, in the rule of law as codified in our Constitution’s original intent, must get our collective crap together and begin winning elections. Our problems run much deeper than Barack Obama or any of his small band of incompetent minions. Our collective pain has been achieved politically, and politically is the only way we will be able to remedy that pain.

You’ve probably all seen this before. I first saw this quote in March of 2009, but that does not change the fact that it is spot on, eloquent, and quite possibly the best description of the state of America today.

cid:732EA4AE-8A41-4215-ADFF-E99CADC77A91

Cross Posted from Musings of a Mad Conservative.

The Obama Boom: 162,000 Jobs created in July; Unemployment rate drops to 7.4%

by Phantom Ace ( 114 Comments › )
Filed under Business, Economy, unemployment at August 2nd, 2013 - 10:16 am

 The Economic Golden Age declared by some in the media continues to increase prosperity at an unprecedented rate not seen since antediluvian times. The rate of job growth continues to be historic and is putting the 90’s and 80’s boom to shame. An astronomic figure of 162,000 jobs was created in July. The Unemployment rate dropped to 7.4%, due to the increasing prosperity that is allowing people to drop out of the labor market. The labor force participation rate dropped to 63.4% reflecting a strong robust economy! Wages declined 2 cents due the bulk of job creation being low wage part jobs, which is a sign that people are doing so well, they prefer only working part time!

The above paragraph was a paradoy of how the Obama Regime will spin these numbers. 162,000 jobs are not bad, but it is just treading water. The drop in labor force participation is due to the low pay and bad quality of jobs created. People would rather stay on government assistance that pays more than take a crappy job. Make no mistake, this report is another sign of America’s 13 year economic decline.

Employers added fewer workers than anticipated in July and the U.S. jobless rate dropped to 7.4 percent, indicating uneven progress in the labor market.

The 162,000 increase in payrolls last month was the smallest in four months and followed a revised 188,000 rise in June that was less than initially estimated, Labor Department figures showed today in Washington. The median forecast of 93 economists surveyed by Bloomberg called for a 185,000 gain. Workers spent fewer hours on the job and hourly earnings fell for the first time since October.

[….]

Retailers added almost 47,000 workers in July, the most in eight months. Employment in education and health services showed the smallest gain in a year. Construction employment fell and manufacturing rose for the first time in five months.

[….]

Average hourly earnings fell 0.1 percent to $23.98 in July from the prior month, and were up 1.9 percent over the past 12 months.

The average work week for all workers fell to 34.4 hours from 34.5 hours.

The household survey showed that part-time employment climbed by 174,000 in July, exceeding a 92,000 gain in full-time hiring.

The number of discouraged workers, those not looking for a job because they don’t believe one is available, climbed to 988,000 in July from 852,000 a year ago.

America’s economic stagnation continues without any end in sight. THe Middle Class continues to lose ground and more people c ontinue to depend on government. The Obama Regime’s polcies are afilur, but the Republicans are not offereing any alternative either. Both parties continue to demonize other Americans and just engage in nasty rhetoric to distract from this bad economy.

No amount of media spin can cover up one simple truth, the economuc sucks!

Update: Zero Hedge has a good chart showing 70% of our jobs created were part time.

Part Time

This is a very daming statistic.

The Obama Boom: A dismal recovery

by Phantom Ace ( 106 Comments › )
Filed under Barack Obama, Democratic Party, Economy, Misery Index, Progressives, unemployment at June 6th, 2013 - 8:00 am

The media has been pushing hard the last few weeks that the economy is booming. They cite the stock Market and Real Estate as proof that we are now in an economic golden age. They ignore wage stagnation, lackluster job growth and the fact most of the reduction in the unemployment rate was due to people unable to find jobs. None of these facts are getting out to the public instead its the economy is rating and we have prosperity. A UCLA professor debunks the Obama Boom theme.

The country’s tepid growth in its gross domestic product isn’t creating enough good jobs to build a strong middle class, according to a UCLA report released Wednesday.

“Growth in GDP has been positive, but not exceptional,” UCLA economists wrote in their quarterly Anderson Forecast. “Jobs are growing, but not rapidly enough to create good jobs for all.”

The report, which analyzed long-term trends of past recoveries, found that the long-anticipated “Great Recovery” has not yet materialized.

Real GDP growth — the value of goods and services produced after adjusting for inflation — is 15.4% below the 3% growth trend of past recoveries, wrote Edward Leamer, director of the UCLA Anderson Forecast. More robust growth will be necessary to bring this recovery in line with previous ones.

“It’s not a recovery,” he wrote. “It’s not even normal growth. It’s bad.”

Sadly facts do not matter in Obama’s America. With backing from the media and Hollywood, many Americans think Obama is doing a great job and the economy is booming. The logic is that they may personally may not be doing well, but their neighbors are. This thought process is created by media propaganda that would rival Soviet claims of increased grain production that never occur.

This is the new normal for the economy.

The Obama Boom: 88,000 jobs created in March, but 496,000 leave the workforce

by Phantom Ace ( 109 Comments › )
Filed under Barack Obama, Economy, Progressives, Socialism, unemployment at April 5th, 2013 - 11:30 am

The media has been trumpeting that the economy is running on all cylinders. Thanks to Ben Bernanke’s infusion of $80 billion a month into the financial sector the Stock Market is at record highs. The dirty little secret is that the actual value of the stock market is lower due to a devalued dollar. But it does not matter, the media is claiming we are back in the 90’s again and Obama is awesome. Reality is a starkly different story altogether.

March’s jobs numbers were very disappointing. Only 88,000 jobs were created for the month. The media will trumpet the drop in the unemployment rate to 7.6% as a positive. What they will not tell the public is that the drop is due to 496,000 people leaving the labor force. Want to bet the majority will be put on disability?

Nonfarm payroll employment edged up in March (+88,000), and the unemployment rate was little changed at 7.6 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment grew in professional and business services and in health care but declinedin retail trade.Both the number of unemployed persons, at 11.7 million, and the unemployment rate, at 7.6 percent, were little changed in March. (See table A-1.)

Among the major worker groups, the unemployment rates for adult men (6.9 percent), adult women (7.0 percent), teenagers (24.2 percent), whites (6.7 percent), blacks (13.3 percent), and Hispanics (9.2 percent) showed little or no change in March. The jobless rate for Asians was 5.0 percent (not seasonally adjusted), little changed from a year earlier. (See tables A-1, A-2, and A-3.)

In March, the number of long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27 weeks or more) was little changed at 4.6 million. These individuals accounted for 39.6 percent of the unemployed. (See table A-12.)

The civilian labor force declined by 496,000 over the month, and the labor force participation rate decreased by 0.2 percentage point to 63.3 percent. The employment- population ratio, at 58.5 percent, changed little. (See table A-1.)

The jobs reports confirms the economy is not booming as the media claims it was. Zerohedge has an even darker and stark analysis of the numbers. The labor force participation rate is at 35 year low!

Things just keep getting worse for the American worker, and by implication US economy, where as we have shown many times before, it pays just as well to sit back and collect disability and various welfare and entitlement checks, than to work .The best manifestation of this: the number of people not in the labor force which in March soared by a massive 663,000 to a record 90 million Americans who are no longer even looking for work. This was the biggest monthly increase in people dropping out of the labor force since January 2012, when the BLS did its census recast of the labor numbers. And even worse, the labor force participation rate plunged from an already abysmal 63.5% to 63.3% – the lowest since 1979! But at least it helped with the now painfully grotesque propaganda that the US unemployment rate is “improving.”

Check out the charts Zerohedge has on this subject. It’s very frightening.

The economy is not roaring or on fire as the media has been claiming. Food stamps and disability claims continue to rise. This indicates an anemic recovery that is not benefiting American workers. Most of the job growth has been in low wage, part time jobs. The Obama Boom is the worse recovery on record.

None of this will matter to most Americans anyway. The media will continue to tell the American public that the economy is booming. OFA will send email talking points out and do Facebook postings extolling the Obama economy. The American public will continue to love Obama as their god-king. No bad news hurts this guy, even bad economic data.

Update: 81,000 people in March went on disability.

Almost as many people signed up with the federal government’s permanent worker disability program as got jobs in March, according to two sets of government data, continuing a troubling trend throughout the Obama recovery.

Last month, 81,804 workers left the workforce to join the Social Security Disability Insurance program. So far this year, nearly a quarter million workers have joined the program.

Over the past four years, 4 million left the workforce to go on disability. Even after accounting for those who dropped out of the program because of death or retirement, the ranks of the disabled have shot up more than 1.4 million under Obama.

This is where the people dropping off the rolls are going.

(Hat Tip: Iron Fist)