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Global Warming is Failing as Science

by tqcincinnatus ( 170 Comments › )
Filed under Science at September 23rd, 2009 - 3:22 pm

One of the standards used to determine whether something is “science” by the strict definition of the word is whether a theory can be used to make accurate predictions.  In light of the President’s ill-advised cheerleading at the UN yesterday, we should ask ourselves whether global warming actually meets this definition of science.  Global warming fanatics have proposed that as carbon dioxide content in the atmosphere increases, we will see proportional increases in temperature coupled with other climatological effects.  As Tony Watt at Watts Up With That points out, one of the key arguments  for global warming – that sea ice coverage continues to decrease (which in GreenSpeak translates into “RISING SEA LEVELS WIPING OUT COASTAL CITIES AND KILLING MILLIONS!!!!!”) is failing the prediction test,

2009 Arctic Sea Ice Extent exceeds 2005 for this date

Those that have been watching the IARC-JAXA Arctic sea ice plot, and noting the slope of gain, rather expected this to happen. Today it did.
Here’s the current IARC-JAXA Sea Ice Extent plot:

 

While 2009 minimum on 09/13 of 5,249, 844 was just  65, 312 sq km below 2005 in minimum extent, which occurred on 9/22/2005  with 5,315,156 sq km, it has now rebounded quickly and is higher by 38,438 sq km, just 2 days before the 9/22/05 minimum. On 9/22/2009 it may very well be close to 60-80,000 sq km higher than the minimum on the same date in 2005.
While by itself this event isn’t all that significant, it does illustrate the continued rebound for the second year. The fact that we only missed the 2005 minimum by 65, 312, which is about one days worth of melt during many days of the melt season is also noteworthy.
What this all means is that the extent of the surface of the Arctic Ocean which is (as of 9-22-2009) covered in ice has reached the level seen in 2005.  As you can see from the graph, Arctic Sea ice coverage reached a minimum in 2007, and has been increasing over the past couple of years.  The trend from 2002 to 2007 was for less coverage, but the past two years show more.  What this means in laymen’s terms is that over the past couple of years, the summertime peak in Arctic ocean temperature (which, of course, affects how much ice is floating around in that ocean) has been been lower than it was in 2007.  In fact, it’s cooled to 2005 levels, and the trend suggests a cooling process is in action.  In short, the Arctic Ocean appears to be cooling down again, despite the predictions from global warming fanatics that it should continue to get warmer and warmer. 

Of course, Dr. Watt has pointed out that other predictions made by the AGW Truthers are not panning out, either.  More and more dangerous hurricanes?  Isn’t happening.  Tornadoes becoming more frequent and energetic?  Nope, that’s not happening either. 
No wonder the American people aren’t buying this AGW scaremongering – only 2% of us think the issue is a matter of priority, showing once again how out of touch our President really is. 

And, as the Czech President Vaclav Klaus (who’s probably a Ron Paulian, a creationist, a Birther, and a Glenn Beck fan) notes, the whole UN “global warming” pageant this week has a definite weird streak to it,

“It was sad and it was frustrating,” said Klaus, one of the world’s most vocal skeptics on the topic of global warming.

 

“It’s a propagandistic exercise where 13-year-old girls from some far-away country perform a pre-rehearsed poem,” he said. “It’s simply not dignified.”

 

At the opening of the summit attended by nearly 100 world leaders, 13-year-old Yugratna Srivastava of India told the audience that governments were not doing enough to combat the threat of climate change.

 

Klaus said there were increasing doubts in the scientific community about whether humans are causing changes in the climate or whether the changes are simply naturally occurring phenomena.

 

Am I the only one who thinks it’s not healthy that our President is taking advice on the “need” for climate change legislation from a 13-year old kid?

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This entry was posted on Wednesday, September 23rd, 2009 at 3:22 pm and is filed under Science. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. Both comments and pings are currently closed.

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