I came across a poll that has Mitt Romney down by one against Barack Obama. The poll by 8NewsNow/Las Vegas Review-Journal has Obama at 48% and Mitt Romney at 47%. But what caught my eye was that Romney is running strong with Hispanics at 41%. If this number holds, Nevada will go for Romney. The only reason Obama is ahead because it gives the Democrats a +7 sample.
The composition of the poll includes 40 percent Democrats, 33 percent Republicans and 25 percent independents. Moderates account for 40 percent, conservatives are represented by 32 percent, and 19 percent are liberals. Among those polled, 8 percent are tea party members, 20 percent belong to union households, and 38 percent live in military/veteran households.
There is no way that the electorate in Nevada is +7 Democratic. Mitt Romney getting 41% of the Hispanic vote virtually assures he would win the state on election day. It seems Univision’s special on Fast and Furious has had an effect. If the 41% is replicated nationally, Obama is toast.
