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Meet Maher Assad, Bashar’s key to survival

by Mojambo ( 71 Comments › )
Filed under Syria at September 17th, 2013 - 12:00 pm

Hopefully Maher Assad will wind up sharing the fate that befell Saddam’s equally murderous offspring Uday and Qusay Hussein. The Assad family is definitely a Crime Family.

by Barbara Surk

He is hardly ever photographed or even quoted in Syria’s media. Wrapped in that blanket of secrecy, President Bashar Assad’s younger brother has been vital to the family’s survival in power.

Maher Assad commands the elite troops that protect the Syrian capital from rebels on its outskirts and is widely believed to have helped orchestrate the regime’s fierce campaign to put down the uprising, now well into its third year. He has also gained a reputation for brutality among opposition activists.

 His role underlines the family core of the Assad regime, though he is a stark contrast to his brothers. His eldest brother, Basil, was the family prince, publicly groomed by their father Hafez to succeed him as president — until Basil died in a 1994 car crash. That vaulted Bashar, then an eye doctor in London with no military or political experience, into the role as heir, rising to the presidency after his father’s death in 2000. The two brothers — the “martyr” and the president — often appear together in posters.

The 45-year-old Maher, however, has resolutely stayed out of the limelight. Friends, military colleagues and even his enemies describe him as a strict military man to the core.

The 15,000 soldiers in the 4th Armored Division that he leads are largely members of the Assad family’s minority Alawite sect — who see the civil war as a battle for their very survival — and represent the best paid, armed and trained units of the Syrian military. In the past year, his troops have launched repeated offensives against rebels firmly entrenched on Damascus’ outskirts, bombarding and raiding the impoverished suburbs they hold.

Maher Assad (photo credit: Wikipedia Commons / m.nadaff)

Maher is also believed to have led a bloody crackdown on dissent since the uprising began in March 2011 with largely peaceful protests against Assad’s rule. In April, the Syrian rights group Violations Documentation Center reported interviews with several former detainees who described being crammed in crowded cells and undergoing beatings by guards in secret prisons on the 4th Division’s bases around Damascus where hundreds of suspected regime opponents have been held.

“He is known to be merciless butcher,” said Mohammed al-Tayeb, an opposition activist speaking by Skype from the rebel-held Damascus suburb of Douma, among the areas pounded by the 4th Division’s assaults.

[…….]

“From the beginning, Maher was convinced that the uprising must be put down before any talks take place,” said Fawaz A. Gerges, director of the Middle East Center at the London School of Economics. “The life of the regime depends on Maher’s ability to prevent the rebels from infiltrating Damascus and toppling his brother’s government … If Damascus falls, the regime goes,”

He also played a role in reshaping the Syrian military as the conflict dragged on. Once plagued by defections as rebels gained territory, the military this year has regained the upper hand with a series of powerful offensives, battling rebels to a standstill in cities and taking back some towns.

“The Syrian military has changed from a rusty institution, filled with passive and tired conscripts into an urban warfare fighting machine, filled with skilled and battle hardened fighters,” said Gerges.

The Assad family in 1994. Front: Hafez Assad and Anisa Makhlouf. Rear, left to right: Maher, Bashar, Bassel, Majid, and Bushra Assad (photo credit: via Wikipedia)

Maher’s importance has only grown. His brother-in-law Assef Shawkat, who was deputy defense minister and a key figure in the intelligence apparatus, was killed along with the defense minister in a June 2012 bombing. Shawkat’s wife, the Assads’ older sister Bushra, herself a major adviser to Bashar, is believed to have since left the country for Gulf. Several of Bashar’s cousins hold significant security posts, but Maher is by far the most prominent relative.

Following the Aug. 21 alleged chemical attack near Damascus that killed hundreds, opposition activists charged that the rockets carrying the chemical agents were fired by the 4th Division’s 155th Brigade, which commands large missile sites on the mountains overlooking the capital. However, the opposition could not produce proof.

[……..]

Maher’s relationship to his 48-year-old brother in some ways mirrors that of his father Hafez’s to his own younger brother, Rifaat, who commanded an elite military unit and was seen as the regime enforcer in the first decade after the Assads came to power in a 1970 coup. But Rifaat fell out with Hafez after he made his own bid for power in the mid-1980s, and has lived in exile in Europe since.

[……..]

Last year, when rebels were striking directly into the heart of Damascus, a few startling chants calling for Maher to rule could be heard at pro-government protests: “Bashar to the clinic, Maher to the command,” underlining a perception that the military younger brother was more fit for power than his former doctor brother.  [……..]

From behind the heavy secrecy, numerous reports of Maher’s ruthlessness and temper circulate — though few have been confirmed.

Opposition figures and activists say Maher was behind a July 2008 crackdown on a riot by mainly Islamist prisoners at the Saidnaya prison near Damascus, in which at least 17 prisoners were killed, according to Amnesty International — though others put the toll at several dozen.

An online video of the scene shows a man activists claim is Maher taking cell-phone pictures of the mangled bodies and severed limbs of the dead. The man resembles Maher, but has not been confirmed as him.

Hisham Jaber, a retired Lebanese army general who has studied the Syrian army and is in touch with officers from the 4th Division, said Maher is known as a “brave … and in some respects aggressive man, who has a lot of military experience.” He is respected by his troops but also feared for his strictness, Jaber said.

Like his brother, Maher is married to a member of Syria’s Sunni Muslim majority. He, his wife Manal Jadaan, and three children — two girls and an 18-month-old boy — live in a villa near the presidential palace in Damascus. Maher is a passionate equestrian and owns a ranch and horses in the Yaafour area, near Damascus, according to two family friends, who spoke to The Associated Press on condition of anonymity to give details of his private life.

[………]

Qassem Saadeddine, a former Syrian army colonel and spokesman for the rebels’ Supreme Military Council, counters that Maher ensures loyalty among those close to him with largesse. “He gives them money, cars, houses and all means of entertainment.”

[……..]

Read the rest – Bashar Assad’s brother Maher is key to regime’s survival

America’s way of war: from shock-and-awe to forewarn-and-irritate

by Mojambo ( 151 Comments › )
Filed under Iraq, Russia, Syria, Weapons at September 11th, 2013 - 12:00 pm

A more incompetent and clownish administration has not been seen by the world since the bad old days of Jimmy Carter. We knew we were in trouble in 2009 when we realized that the best case scenario was going to be a replay of the Carter administration.

by Bret Stephens

So much for John Kerry‘s “global test,” circa 2004. So much for Barack Obama slamming the Bush administration for dismissing “European reservations about the wisdom and necessity of the Iraq war,” circa 2007. So much for belittling foreign leaders who side with the administration as “poodles.” So much for the U.N. stamp of legitimacy. So much for the “lie/die” rhyme popular with Democrats when they were accusing George W. Bush of fiddling with the WMD intelligence.

Say what you will about the prospect of a U.S. strike on Syria, it has already performed one useful service: exposing the low dishonesty, the partisan opportunism, the intellectual flabbiness, the two-bit histrionics and the dumb hysteria that was the standard Democratic attack on the Bush administration’s diplomatic handling of the war in Iraq.

In politics as in life, you lie in the bed you make. The president and his secretary of state are now lying in theirs. So are we.

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Charles Dharapak/Associated PressThe State of the Union address, Feb. 12, 2013.

And then some. All Americans are reduced when Mr. Kerry, attempting to distinguish an attack on Syria with the war in Iraq, described the former as “unbelievably small.” Does the secretary propose to stigmatize the use of chemical weapons by bombarding Bashar Assad, evil tyrant, with popcorn? When did the American way of war go from shock-and-awe to forewarn-and-irritate?

Americans are reduced, also, when an off-the-cuff remark by Mr. Kerry becomes the basis of a Russian diplomatic initiative—immediately seized by an Assad regime that knows a sucker’s game when it sees one—to hand over Syria’s stocks of chemical weapons to international control. So now we’re supposed to embark on months of negotiation, mediated by our friends the Russians, to get Assad to relinquish a chemical arsenal he used to deny having, now denies using, and will soon deny secretly maintaining?

One of the favorite Democratic attack lines against the Bush administration was that it was “incompetent.”  [………]

[……..]

The administration also touts the support of 24 countries—Albania and Honduras are on board!—who have signed a letter condemning Assad’s use of chemical weapons “in the strongest terms,” though none of them, except maybe France, are contemplating military action. Yet Mr. Bush assembled a coalition of 40 countries who were willing to deploy troops to Iraq—a coalition Mr. Kerry mocked as inadequate and illegitimate when he ran for president in 2004.

Then there’s the intel. In London the other day, Mr. Kerry invited the public to examine the administration’s evidence of Assad’s use of chemical weapons, posted on whitehouse.gov. The “dossier” consists of a 1,455-word document heavy on blanket assertions such as “we assess with high confidence” and “we have a body of information,” and “we have identified one hundred videos.”

By contrast, the Bush administration made a highly detailed case on Iraqi WMD, including show-and-tells by Colin Powell at the Security Council. It also relied on the testimony of U.N. inspectors like Hans Blix, who reported in January 2003 that “there are strong indications that Iraq produced more anthrax than it declared,” that his inspectors had found “indications that the [nerve agent VX] was weaponized,” and that Iraq had “circumvented the restrictions” on the import of missile parts.

The case the Bush administration assembled on Iraqi WMD was far stronger than what the Obama administration has offered on Syria. And while I have few doubts that the case against Assad is solid, it shouldn’t shock Democrats that the White House’s “trust us” approach isn’t winning converts. When you’ve spent years peddling the libel that the Bush administration lied about Iraq, don’t be shocked when your goose gets cooked in the same foul sauce.

So what should President Obama say when he addresses the country Tuesday night? He could start by apologizing to President Bush for years of cheap slander. He won’t. He could dispense with the talk of “global norms” about chemical weapons and instead talk about the American interest in punishing Assad. He might. [……..]

In the meantime, Republicans should ponder what their own political posturing on Syria might mean for the future. When a Republican president, faced with a Democratic House, feels compelled to take action against some other rogue regime, will they rue their past insistence on congressional approval?

Read the rest – The bed Obama and Kerry made

Our Foreign Policy, And More Importantly Syria, In A 29 Second Nut Shell

by Flyovercountry ( 91 Comments › )
Filed under Al Qaeda, Barack Obama, Democratic Party, Progressives, Republican Party, Syria at September 5th, 2013 - 8:00 am


We there you have it my gentle fellow citizens of the land of the feckless, home of the naive. When asked what it was exactly that our leaders hoped to gain by intervention in Syria, Admiral Martin Dempsey, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, answered, “I don’t know, I can’t answer that.” Just let that soak in for a moment or two, and we’ll chat afterwards.

I really did not want to do another Syria bit today, but seeing as though the only other news was about the monster Ariel Castro’s suicide, and the fact that a senior Obama Official has admitted that when we do intervene in Syria, our belief is that our action will accomplish nothing, I felt obliged. I don’t know what the background of Admiral Dempsey is here, and my sense is that he is held hostage by his principals to serve an Administration that he genuinely dislikes. Somebody has to hold his job while our treasonous President serves out his term, and it’s possible that, to his thinking, somebody should actually have America’s best interests at heart. At the same time, he is honor bound to follow the President’s orders, no matter how stupid they may be.

So, when the President ordered him to appear at the Kerry dog and pony show orchestrated for the Senate, he was stuck betwixt a rock and a hard place when asked the simple question, what good do you hope comes of this? Kicking out the Iranian puppet regime which takes the form of Hezbollah and that group of shiite thugs, in favor of the Muslim Brotherhood controlled puppet regime which will take the form of Al-Queda and that group of Shiite thugs, makes darned little sense when the end game is considered in its proper perspective, which is that there will be no appreciable difference in what Syria will be, in the end.

There is not one single argument for intervention in Syria that passes even cursory scrutiny. Chemical Weapons or WMD? Do you honestly believe that Al Queda, those fine folks who flew airplanes into the WTC and Pentagon are less likely to use Chemical weapons once they get their hands on them? They had no compunction with the thought of killing thousands of innocent people, what makes anyone believe that killing hundreds would give them pause? Bashir Assad is a really bad guy? What evidence does anyone have that the replacement thugs will be any nicer? Does September 11, 2001 ring any bells for you? That’s exactly who our President has chosen to support.

What it comes down to is this, our President, as much as he accused everyone else in the world of having this fault, decided that seventh grade school yard diplomacy would be the way to go in terms of helping Bashir Assad, the one time bestest buddy of the Democrats in Washington, make the best decisions for all of humanity, and those poor souls in Syria who live at his pleasure. Our President, fully armed with that smart diplomacy power, and his vast array of sternly worded letters and such, told Mr. Assad, a known sociopath, that there was a, “red line,” which he dare not cross. So, in the spirit of seventh grade, “neener neener,” brand of politicking, which for those Middle East aficionados is also known as saber rattling, Bashir Assad emphatically asked directions to the vaunted, “red line,” and crossed so many times that it is indistinguishable from the rest of the sand in the desert.

So now, the rush to lob a single cruise missile so that it explodes harmlessly in the desert, (brings back memories of Bill Clinton doesn’t it,) is supported by the latest iteration of an argument, America will look weak should we fail to do this thing. For the intellectuals out there, who may have a hard time following an argument that is not properly nuanced, I am truly sorry. I realize that simplicity is the enemy of tortured logic, and I’m only spit balling here, but perhaps the foreign policy based on projecting American weakness is what has made America seem weak. Maybe, just maybe, Bashir Assad looked out over the happenings in Egypt, Tunisia, Quatar, Libya, the Sudan, Yemen, Nigeria, and where ever else, and said, hey there’s a Democrat in the White House again, I can behave poorly with impunity.

The worst part of this dog and pony show for me is the realization that the Republican Party once again, asserts its place as the Palooka Party. Barack Obama, who has thrown this farce to Congress for a hypothetical debate, which means basically that he’ll act with or without Congressional Approval, is clearly seeking political cover, so that he may share blame, or better yet, manage to once again escape any of the accountability for committing U.S. troops to a military operation in which we have no identifiable objective, and consequently no chance for any sort of victory. Listening to a good number of the Republicans in the Senate, and in the House, it would seem that there is a large swath of our side more than willing to kiss canvas here.

By the time this is remembered for the 2014 midterms, it will have been a bipartisan disaster, in which Barack Obama’s hand was forced because of the ill advised council he’d received from John McCain, Lindsey Graham, and John Boehner. By the time the 2016 Presidential election rolls around, this will have been consigned to history as the McCain-Graham-Boehner war. Just like history granting Richard Nixon the lion’s share of the blame for the war in Viet Nam, conveniently forgetting that it was John Kennedy and Lyndon Johnson who gifted that use of military force to our nation, by the time that this one gets retold in the reeducation camps formerly known as public schools, Barack Obama will have tried to keep it from happening at all. He will have fought against the establishment as he always has, while leading our country from behind.

Cross Posted from Musings of a Mad Conservative.

Bashar Assad’s American ‘useful idiots’ have turned on him

by Mojambo ( 110 Comments › )
Filed under Barack Obama, George W. Bush, Hillary Clinton, Iraq, Joe Biden, Lebanon, Syria at September 3rd, 2013 - 4:00 pm

It is funny seeing folks such as Obama, Hagel, Biden, and Kerry who used to so vociferously criticize W. sound a lot like him today.  As the guys from Powerline have written “Kerry is a man of limited intelligence who loves money and glamour” – proof of that is Kerry’s visits as Senator to Damascus where he became one of Bashar Assad’s biggest boosters back home in America.

by Rowan Scarborough

The Obama national security team that wants to go to war with Syria and demonizes President Bashar Assad is the same group that, as senators, urged reaching out to the dictator.

As a bloc on the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations, President Obama, Secretary of State John F. Kerry, Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel and Vice President Joseph R. Biden all opposed the George W. Bush administration’s playing tough with Mr. Assad.

None grew closer to Mr. Assad and promoted him in Washington more than Mr. Kerry.

“President Assad has been very generous with me in terms of the discussions we have had,” Mr. Kerry, as a senator from Massachusetts, told an audience at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in March 2011. He predicted that Mr. Assad would change for the better.

But that same month, pro-democracy demonstrations erupted in Syria that would lead to a civil war, unmasking Mr. Assad’s brutal tactics, including the Aug. 21 unleashing of nerve gas that killed more than 1,400 civilians.

Today, Mr. Kerry is a leading advocate for attacking Mr. Assad’s regime. On Friday, he called the man he once befriended a “thug and murderer.”

Mr. Hagel is assembling a small armada in the eastern Mediterranean Sea to launch scores of cruise missiles at the Assad regime as punishment for the gas attack. Mr. Obama and Mr. Biden are lobbying allies and Congress to approve an attack.

[……]

When Mr. Assad succeeded his late father, Hafez, as dictator in July 2000, there was hope in Washington that the young ophthalmologist who was trained in London would shift the country from its brutal ways in neighboring Lebanon and its deep association with Iran and terrorism.

‘Constructive behavior’

But in the Bush administration’s view, Mr. Assad proved as devious as his father. He increased ties to Hezbollah and Hamas, two U.S.-designated terrorist groups backed by Iran, and grew even closer to Iran, which used Syria to pass rockets to terrorists.

In 2005, the Assad regime rocked Lebanon by playing a role in Hezbollah’s assassination of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri, who had led an anti-Syrian bloc in Beruit.

By that year, Mr. Assad had begun helping al Qaeda by opening his country to jihadists who passed through the Damascus airport on their way to safe houses and then across the border into Iraq, where they killed U.S. troops.

The Bush administration made repeated demands in Damascus for Mr. Assad to stop the flow of al Qaeda killers but saw no progress.

Noting that behavior, the Bush national security team refused to engage Mr. Assad in peace talks until he changed. That stance riled senators, especially Mr. Kerry, Mr. Hagel and Mr. Biden.

Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice explained the administration’s position on Mr. Assad to the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations in 2007.

[…….]

“But the problem is, they are not engaging in constructive behavior. And we don’t see how that would change, currently, by talking to them.”

Mr. Biden, then the committee’s chairman, scolded her and reminded her of her duties.

“I do not agree with your statement, Madame Secretary, that negotiations with Iran and Syria would be extortion, nor did most of the witnesses we heard in this committee during the last month,” Mr. Biden said. “The proper term, I believe and they believe, is diplomacy, which is not about paying a price but finding a way to protect our interests without engaging in military conflict. It is, I might add, the fundamental responsibility of the Department of State, to engage in such diplomacy, as you well know.”

[…….]

“Have you included in those conversations, whether second- or third-party conversations, Iran and Syria?” Mr. Hagel said. “Because I don’t know how we could come up with any kind of a plan or focus, working with the United Nations or anyone else, if Iran and Syria are not included in that.”

One of Mr. Obama’s major foreign policy positions as a senator was unconditional direct talks with the leaders of Iran over its quest for nuclear weapons.

He also favored talks with Mr. Assad. Once in office, Mr. Kerry became his main emissary to Damascus, engaging in talks there in 2009, a month after Mr. Obama took office, and 2010, marking his third and fourth visits as a senator.

A ‘reformer’

Before the 2009 visit, the U.S. Embassy in Damascus sent a cable to Mr. Kerry and other senators on the trip.

“You should expect an enthusiastic reception by government officials of the Syrian Arab Republic (SARG) and from the media, who will interpret your presence as a signal that the [U.S. government] is ready for enhanced U.S.-Syrian relations,” said the cable, published by the anti-secrecy website WikiLeaks.  [……..]

At the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in 2011, Mr. Kerry was full of praise for Mr. Assad as the civil war in Syria erupted, and he predicted that the dictator would become a good actor.

“So my judgment is that Syria will move,” he said. “Syria will change as it embraces a legitimate relationship with the United States and the West and economic opportunity that comes with it and the participation that comes with it.”

That month, Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton, another alumnus of the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations, told “Face the Nation” on CBS that lawmakers who had visited Mr. Assad considered him a “reformer.” The U.S., she said, did not need to contemplate military action against Syria.

“There’s a different leader in Syria now,” Mrs. Clinton said. “Many of the members of Congress of both parties who have gone to Syria in recent months have said they believe he’s a reformer.”

Conservatives wonder whether Mr. Assad, seeing that those who had scolded the Bush team for not talking to him are now in power, calculated he could put down the unrest in his country without U.S. interference.

[…….]

Read  the rest – Bashar Assad loses U.S. friends as Kerry, Hagel and Biden take Bush’s stance on Syria
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