The President, and Democrat controlled House and Senate, won their elections in 2006 and 2008 by pretending to be tax reforming centrist hawks. Once in power, they governed as flat out Socialists. What they learned in November of 2009, was that people’s attention spans are longer than what was previously believed. The warning bell was sounded when Massachusetts, the people’s republik which had inflicted us with Ted Kennedy and John Kerry, elected someone to the Senate professing Tea Party values and its first Republican Senator since the Civil War era. The other warning bell was in Virginia, where a Republican Governor handily defeated a one term Democrat Governor. The warning signs were ignored or dismissed as poor messaging. One year later, the Democrats lost an election in gargantuan proportion. It wasn’t just the 63 House seats which switched sides of the aisle, nor was it the net switch of 7 Senate seats, nor even the switch of 11 Governor’s seats, but it was all of the above coupled with the switch of about 700 State Legislature seats across the fruited plains. This election represented an unprecedented rebuke of the Democrat leadership of this nation on Federal, State, and Local levels. It should have sent shudders down the spines of Democrat Party Apparatchiks. Instead, it brought the usual blather about voters not paying attention, not knowing what was best for them, and poor messaging.

Here we are, one year later, and another special election to replace a House Member. This time, as in the case of 2009, it is in one of the most heavily Democratic districts in the Country. The last Republican to win New York 9 was probably in the Civil War era. The question is, how will it be interpreted. When the Republican, Robert Turner, defeats Democrat David Weprin tomorrow, how will our liberal friends react?  I believe the reaction may extend beyond the usual nonsense of, “it must have been the messaging.”  For some time now, I have met Democrats who, while alone and not in their usual habitat of political obfuscation and message spinning, have admitted that they are terrified of the destruction of their party by Barack Obama and the Moveon crowd.  We have seen already the former Clinton branch of the party try to fool us with the, “no labels,” nonsense.  This might just bring about something else entirely.  A loss here, will not be able to just be dismissed by the honchos who are considered Democrat Party Insiders.  Sure, the election is to replace Anthony Weiner, the man who put humor back into national politics, if only by the jokes afforded by his unfortunate name, but that is still a D + 5 Congressional District.  That, coupled with the fact that Weiner’s name is not actually on the ballot, should be enough to keep this from even being close.  Both candidates have worked to distance themselves from President Obama, and the only actual difference in their rhetoric has been the issues of Medicare and Social Security.  The Republican Turner is running on a platform of noticing that Social Security is a ponzi scheme, while the Democrat, Weprin, is using the age old Republicans want to put old people on the street and kick your puppy dog approach.  A loss here should cause wide spread panic in the Democrat establishment.  It would mean that the tried and true and once proven approach of demagoguery will have failed in a place where it should not even be a question.

What’s next then?  It is getting late for this, but in 1968, the Democrats forced LBJ, a man who 4 years earlier won in the largest landslide election to that date, not to run for reelection.  They instead put up Hubert Humphrey as a candidate and damn near defeated Richard Nixon.  There are many who believe that the Democrat Party would not be able to do this today, as Barack Obama is also our nation’s first Black President.  I am not sure that this is enough though.  The future relevancy of the entire Democrat Party is now at stake.  It will already be an entire generation before anyone falls for the old centrist Democrat gag again.  The old lie of, “I’m a fiscal conservative and a social liberal,” will not be believed by anyone not eating paste in elementary school.  That is the damage faced by the Democrat Party before November of 2012,  Imagine the consequences they face if they run President Obama next year.

We have already been treated to the insane ramblings of Debbie Wasserman Schultz as spokesperson for the Democrat Party.  She has touted the success of the stimulus package long after every other Democrat in the country, including President Obama by the way, has stricken the word stimulus from their vocabulary.  She has jumped on board of every insane theory of economics including the position that space aliens are coming to invade us because of the fact that Carbon Dioxide is present in our atmosphere.  We have been treated to commercials showing Republican meanies pushing wheel chairs off of cliffs, and commercials likening us to the actual Taliban.  Every bill introduced to Congress for the last 4 years has been given some Orwellian sounding name such as patient care affordability act, American jobs and productivity act.  None of these however will hold a candle as to what will begin on Wednesday of this week.  The Democrats are learning that the only way to win an election in 2012 and beyond is by successfully running away from Barack Obama, and it will be impossible to do that with Barack Obama’s name on the ballot.

Cross Posted at Musings of a Mad Conservative.